Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 2-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.