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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
 

Leicester Women
3 - 0
Brighton Women

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester Women 0-8 Chelsea Women
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Although the winter break may have allowed Leicester to reset, we think that they will be narrowly beaten by a Brighton side that will be keen to get off to a winning start under their new manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
19.25% (0.188 0.19) 19.25% (0.032 0.03) 61.5% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 63.66% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.53% (0.142 0.14)31.47% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.06% (0.169 0.17)52.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.262 0.26)29.28% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.32100000000001 0.32)65.25% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.02% (-0.012 -0.01)9.97% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)32.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 19.25%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 61.5%
    Draw 19.25%
Leicester WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 5.08% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 0.9% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 19.25%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 7.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.96% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.5% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.59% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.5%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2021 2pm
Brighton Women
1-0
Leicester Women
Symonds (90+3')

Bailey Gayle (75'), Plumptre (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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