Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.