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Women's Super League | Gameweek 10
Dec 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
1 - 1
Man Utd Women

Coombs (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Galton (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 5-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-2 Manchester United Women

Although Man City have won 10 of their last 11 league games, we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face their local rivals, who have only lost one WSL match this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
62.78% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 21.4% (0.038 0.04) 15.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.104 -0.1)47.5% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.093 -0.09)69.71% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)14.53% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.104 -0.1)42.55% (0.104 0.1)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)42.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.02 -0.02)79.16% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 62.77%
    Manchester United Women 15.82%
    Draw 21.39%
Manchester City WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 62.77%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 15.82%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Man Utd Women

Manchester City Women
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Manchester United Women
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 9, 2021 1.30pm
Feb 12, 2021 7pm
Man City Women
3-0
Man Utd Women
Bronze (23'), Hemp (71'), Weir (84')
Greenwood (59')

Ladd (28'), Sigsworth (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 12.30pm
Man Utd Women
2-2
Man City Women
Heath (54'), Hanson (74')
Press (46')
Kelly (8'), Coombs (45+1')
Kelly (45+4')
rhs 2.0
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