MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:51:35| >> :60:1122:1122:
New Zealand national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2023 at 8am UK
Eden Park
Norway national football team

New Zealand W
1 - 0
Norway Women

Wilkinson (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haavi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's World Cup clash between New Zealand Women and Norway Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: N.Zealand Women 0-0 Czech Republic
Wednesday, February 23 at 11pm in SheBelieves Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Austria Women 1-0 Norway Women
Friday, July 15 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

We said: New Zealand Women 0-2 Norway Women

New Zealand will be keen to give a good account of themselves in front of their own supporters, but we think that Norway have the quality needed to get their World Cup campaign up and running with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Women win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand WomenDrawNorway Women
26.87% (-1.012 -1.01) 22.75% (-0.823 -0.82) 50.38% (1.833 1.83)
Both teams to score 61.14% (2.042 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (3.077 3.08)39.23% (-3.078 -3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (3.15 3.15)61.56% (-3.15 -3.15)
New Zealand Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.873 0.87)27.4% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (1.114 1.11)62.88% (-1.116 -1.12)
Norway Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (1.822 1.82)15.78% (-1.823 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (3.263 3.26)44.91% (-3.263 -3.26)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand Women 26.87%
    Norway Women 50.38%
    Draw 22.74%
New Zealand WomenDrawNorway Women
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.6% (-0.689 -0.69)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.654 -0.65)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.663 -0.66)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.87% (0.381 0.38)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.8% (0.333 0.33)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.326 0.33)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.206 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.248 0.25)
1-5 @ 1% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.38%

How you voted: N.Zealand Women vs Norway Women

New Zealand Women
18.2%
Draw
10.9%
Norway Women
70.9%
55
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
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5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
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18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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