MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 15:47:56| >> :60:508:508:
South Africa national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2023 at 8am UK
Westpac Stadium

S. Africa Women
3 - 2
Italy Women

Orsi (32' og.), Magaia (67'), Kgatlana (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caruso (11' pen., 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between South Africa Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina Women 2-2 S. Africa Women
Friday, July 28 at 1am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Italy Women
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: South Africa Women 1-2 Italy Women

Italy will have to pick themselves up from the disappointment of Friday's heavy defeat to Sweden, while South Africa will still be frustrated with giving up a two-goal lead against Argentina. South Africa know that only a win will do, but we think that they will be edged out by the Italians, who are looking to reach the knockout rounds at consecutive World Cups. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
4.06% (0.0981 0.1) 8.9% (0.185 0.19) 87.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.81% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51)25.19% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.84% (-0.663 -0.66)45.16% (0.667 0.67)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)53.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)86.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.22% (-0.119 -0.12)3.78% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.83% (-0.401 -0.4)16.17% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    South Africa Women 4.06%
    Italy Women 87.03%
    Draw 8.9%
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.27% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.06%
1-1 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.01% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.9%
0-3 @ 11.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 9.62% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.153 0.15)
0-5 @ 6.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-6 @ 3.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
1-6 @ 2.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 87.03%

How you voted: S. Africa Women vs Italy Women

South Africa Women
30.2%
Draw
13.2%
Italy Women
56.6%
53
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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