MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:24:12| >> :60:187:187:
South Africa national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2023 at 8am UK
Westpac Stadium

S. Africa Women
3 - 2
Italy Women

Orsi (32' og.), Magaia (67'), Kgatlana (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caruso (11' pen., 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between South Africa Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina Women 2-2 S. Africa Women
Friday, July 28 at 1am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Italy Women
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: South Africa Women 1-2 Italy Women

Italy will have to pick themselves up from the disappointment of Friday's heavy defeat to Sweden, while South Africa will still be frustrated with giving up a two-goal lead against Argentina. South Africa know that only a win will do, but we think that they will be edged out by the Italians, who are looking to reach the knockout rounds at consecutive World Cups. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
4.06% (0.0981 0.1) 8.9% (0.185 0.19) 87.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.81% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51)25.19% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.84% (-0.663 -0.66)45.16% (0.667 0.67)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)53.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)86.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.22% (-0.119 -0.12)3.78% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.83% (-0.401 -0.4)16.17% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    South Africa Women 4.06%
    Italy Women 87.03%
    Draw 8.9%
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.27% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.06%
1-1 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.01% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.9%
0-3 @ 11.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 9.62% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.153 0.15)
0-5 @ 6.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-6 @ 3.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
1-6 @ 2.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 87.03%

How you voted: S. Africa Women vs Italy Women

South Africa Women
30.2%
Draw
13.2%
Italy Women
56.6%
53
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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