Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Oman had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.