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Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Feb 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Paraguay national football team

Brazil
4 - 0
Paraguay

Raphinha (28'), Coutinho (62'), Antony (86'), Rodrygo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arzamendia (20'), Gonzalez (45+5'), Alonso (78')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Paraguay.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's World Cup 2022 Qualifying clash with Paraguay.

We said: Brazil 3-0 Paraguay

Brazil can afford to take their foot off the gas at this stage of Qualifying - as much as Tite will not want them to - but the Selecao will certainly be fired-up from the frenetic encounter with Ecuador. Paraguay's goal-shy tendencies are showing no signs of improving anytime soon - let alone against a star-studded Brazil backline - so a storming Selecao win should be the only outcome here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.99%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawParaguay
67.02%22.61%10.37%
Both teams to score 32.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.94%62.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.22%81.78%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85%18.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88%49.12%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.42%60.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.05%90.94%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 67.01%
    Paraguay 10.37%
    Draw 22.61%
BrazilDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 18.76%
2-0 @ 16%
3-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 4.57%
4-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 1.95%
5-0 @ 1.33%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 67.01%
0-0 @ 10.99%
1-1 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.51%
1-2 @ 2.36%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Brazil vs Paraguay

Brazil
83.5%
Draw
12.1%
Paraguay
4.4%
91
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-2
Brazil
Gomez (21'), Bareiro (87'), Alonso (88'), Alderete (88')
Fred (43'), Jesus (76')
Jun 28, 2019 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Brazil
0-0
Paraguay
Jun 9, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Brazil
P-P
Paraguay
Mar 29, 2017 1.45am
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Paraguay
Coutinho (34'), Neymar (64'), Marcelo (86')
Jun 27, 2015 10.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Brazil
1-1
Paraguay
Paraguay win 4-3 on penalties
rhs 2.0
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