Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.