World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Canada4 - 1Panama
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Panama |
| 60.03% | 22.37% | 17.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% | 48.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% | 70.68% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% | 15.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.11% | 44.89% |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% | 41.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Canada 60.02%
Panama 17.6%
Draw 22.36%
| Canada | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 6.05% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.16% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.71% 0-2 @ 2.55% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.6% |
How you voted: Canada vs Panama
Canada
72.9%Draw
15.3%Panama
11.8%144
