Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.