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Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2021 at 2am UK
 
Brazil national football team

Chile
0 - 1
Brazil


Andres Morales Bravo (79'), Pulgar (82'), Vegas (87'), Maripan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ribeiro (64')
Guimaraes (45+2'), Marquinhos (84'), Gerson (90+3'), Neymar (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Descp: Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's South American World Cup qualifier against Chile.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Chile had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawBrazil
26.11%22.47%51.41%
Both teams to score 61.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11%60.89%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.15%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.81%15.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.19%43.81%
Score Analysis
    Chile 26.11%
    Brazil 51.41%
    Draw 22.47%
ChileDrawBrazil
2-1 @ 6.54%
1-0 @ 5.4%
2-0 @ 3.47%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 1.49%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-1 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.45%
1-3 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.87%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.21%
2-4 @ 1.83%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.41%

How you voted: Chile vs Brazil

Chile
14.3%
Draw
16.1%
Brazil
69.6%
161
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2021 1am
Quarter-Finals
Brazil
1-0
Chile
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Chile
Paulinho (55'), Jesus (57', 93')
Mar 29, 2015 3pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Chile
Jun 28, 2014 5pm
Round of 16
Brazil
1-1
Chile
Brazil win 3-2 on penalties
Luiz (18')
Hulk (55'), Gustavo (60'), Jo (94'), Alves (105')
Sanchez (32')
Mena (17'), Silva (40'), Pinilla (102')
Nov 20, 2013 1am
International Friendlies
Brazil
2-1
Chile
Hulk (14'), Robinho (79')
Paulinho (38'), Robinho (66')
Vargas (70')
Medel (30'), Beausejour (67'), Carmona (75')
rhs 2.0
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