World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 2, 2021 at 10pm UK
Ecuador2 - 0Paraguay
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Paraguay |
| 39.07% | 28.46% | 32.46% |
| Both teams to score 46.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
