Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.
