Ghana

3 - 1

Zimbabwe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.