Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Canada had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.