World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 1pm UK
Hong Kong Stadium (Hong Kong)
Hong Kong4 - 0Bhutan
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Hong Kong and Bhutan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macao 0-1 Bhutan
Wednesday, September 6 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, September 6 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Bhutan |
57.57% ( 12.49) | 22.67% ( -4.68) | 19.76% ( -7.81) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( 5.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
