World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Indonesia1 - 0Vietnam
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Australia 4-0 Indonesia
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Indonesia 2-1 Vietnam
Coming off a humbling loss against Australia, Indonesia will head into Thursday's game looking to bounce back. While we expect Vietnam to put up a fight, we are backing the Red and White to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Vietnam |
42.91% ( 0.48) | 24.71% ( 0.05) | 32.38% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
