Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Angola had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
