Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.32%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
