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World Cup

Moldova national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Israel national football team

Moldova
1 - 4
Israel

Carp (29')
Carp (3'), Cojocari (30'), Rata (50'), Armas (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zahavi (45+2'), Solomon (57'), Dabour (64'), Natcho (66')
Dasa (7'), Taha (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Moldova and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawIsrael
33.03%27.33%39.64%
Both teams to score 49.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44%56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91%77.09%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33%31.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92%68.08%
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4%27.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87%63.13%
Score Analysis
    Moldova 33.02%
    Israel 39.64%
    Draw 27.32%
MoldovaDrawIsrael
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.02%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.64%