MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:50:40| >> :600:2615497:2615497:
North Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
National Stadium Ramat Gan
Myanmar national football team

North Korea
4 - 1
Myanmar

Ri (12'), Ri (16', 43', 87' pen.)
Kim (72'), Ri (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Aung Wai (57')
Moe Kyaw (30'), Aung Wai (76'), Oo Kyaw (77'), Soe Thet (90+3'), Nyein (90+3')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between North Korea and Myanmar.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: North Korea 1-0 Syria
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Myanmar 0-5 Japan
Thursday, June 6 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Korea win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 21.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Korea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Korea would win this match.

Result
North KoreaDrawMyanmar
58.5% (0.636 0.64) 20.28% (-0.144 -0.14) 21.21% (-0.501 -0.5)
Both teams to score 63.14% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (0.166 0.17)11.37% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9% (0.371 0.37)36.09% (-0.38099999999999 -0.38)
Myanmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.43100000000001 -0.43)28.75% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.535 -0.54)64.59% (0.52699999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    North Korea 58.5%
    Myanmar 21.21%
    Draw 20.28%
North KoreaDrawMyanmar
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.105 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.045 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 21.21%

How you voted: North Korea vs Myanmar

North Korea
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Myanmar
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 9.30am
Second Round
Myanmar
1-6
North Korea
Tun Win (77')
Lin Hein (62'), Moe Kyaw (63')
Il-Gwan (30', 54', 56'), Ju-Song (34' pen.), Kwang-Song (38'), Hyong-Jin (70')
Choe (12'), Un-Chol (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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