Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.