Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.