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World Cup
Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Brazil national football team

Peru
0 - 1
Brazil


Cartagena (45+7'), Tapia (48'), Lopez (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marquinhos (90')
Raphinha (42'), Guimaraes (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's World Cup qualifying clash against Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Peru
Thursday, September 7 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Bolivia
Saturday, September 9 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Peru 0-2 Brazil

 Brazil have won their last four head-to-head fixtures against Peru, and after keeping clean sheets in the last three meetings with Tuesday's opponents, we think that they will produce another strong defensive display to begin their qualifying campaign with consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result
PeruDrawBrazil
18.89% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 27.62% (0.251 0.25) 53.49% (-0.346 -0.35)
Both teams to score 38% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.97% (-0.624 -0.62)65.03% (0.623 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.09% (-0.439 -0.44)83.91% (0.438 0.44)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.54% (-0.264 -0.26)49.45% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.72% (-0.186 -0.19)84.27% (0.185 0.19)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)24.82% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)59.41% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Peru 18.89%
    Brazil 53.48%
    Draw 27.61%
PeruDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.133 0.13)
2-1 @ 4.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.04% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.89%
0-0 @ 12.27% (0.28 0.28)
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 17.1% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.54% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 53.48%

How you voted: Peru vs Brazil

Peru
14.4%
Draw
13.4%
Brazil
72.2%
97
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