Rwanda

1 - 1

Kenya

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.