World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
Rwanda0 - 3Mali
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Rwanda had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Rwanda win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Mali |
| 35.33% | 28.28% | 36.4% |
| Both teams to score 46.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.71% | 59.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% | 79.69% |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% | 31.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.74% | 68.26% |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% | 31.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.53% | 67.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Rwanda 35.32%
Mali 36.4%
Draw 28.27%
| Rwanda | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.32% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.4% |
How you voted: Rwanda vs Mali
Rwanda
25.0%Draw
10.7%Mali
64.3%28
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2021 8pm
Form Guide
