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Syria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 29, 2022 at 2.45pm UK
 
Iraq national football team

Syria
1 - 1
Iraq

Al Dali (3')
Al Marmour (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hussein (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Syria and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Syria 1-0 Tajikistan
Wednesday, June 1 at 4.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 1-1 Iraq
Tuesday, March 29 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Syria 1-1 Iraq

These are two evenly matched teams who are searching to find a clear identity and a brand of football that is suitable to their skill set. Iraq still have something to play for on Tuesday, but like Syria, they have not shown a ton of consistency in this round of qualifying, and seeing as there is no decided edge when you look at these sides on paper, a draw seems like a probable scenario. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SyriaDrawIraq
43.93%26.51%29.56%
Both teams to score 50.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11%53.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65%75.35%
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21%58.79%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97%33.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38%69.62%
Score Analysis
    Syria 43.92%
    Iraq 29.56%
    Draw 26.51%
SyriaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.05%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.56%

How you voted: Syria vs Iraq

Syria
21.1%
Draw
31.0%
Iraq
47.9%
71
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 5pm
Iraq
1-1
Syria
Al-Ammari (86' pen.)
Nadhim (32'), Al-Ammari (87')
Al Somah (79')
Ashkar (85'), Esraa (90'), Al-Mawas (90')
Mar 20, 2019 3pm
Mar 27, 2018 5pm
Iraq
1-1
Syria
Khalid Al Masloukhi (57')
Mohamad Al Khatib (76')
rhs 2.0
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