World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Tanzania3 - 2Madagascar
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Madagascar |
| 41.18% | 27.48% | 31.34% |
| Both teams to score 48.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
