Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Norway had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
