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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Uganda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de la Reunification
Algeria national football team

Uganda
1 - 2
Algeria

Mutyaba (10')
Mato (23'), Byaruhanga (36'), Mutyaba (72'), Mutyaba (82'), Ssekiganda (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aouar (46'), Benrahma (58')
Benrahma (66'), Bentaleb (69'), Bounedjah (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Uganda and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 1-0 Botswana
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Algeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 1-2 Guinea
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Uganda 1-1 Algeria

 Algeria appear not to have recovered from their poor AFCON outing despite changing managers, as they have just one win in their last six matches. Uganda, on the other hand, are growing in confidence with each passing game. However, we think that the visitors might get something from this game due to some individual quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
UgandaDrawAlgeria
19.01% (-0.493 -0.49) 24.52% (-0.109 -0.11) 56.47% (0.605 0.61)
Both teams to score 45.71% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.193 -0.19)54.93% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.16 -0.16)76.21% (0.164 0.16)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69% (-0.676 -0.68)43.31% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45% (-0.57 -0.57)79.55% (0.57299999999999 0.57)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (0.16300000000001 0.16)19.36% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (0.26 0.26)51.15% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 19.01%
    Algeria 56.45%
    Draw 24.52%
UgandaDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.01%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 13.76% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 11.3% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.19% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.54% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.13% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.45%

How you voted: Uganda vs Algeria

Uganda
25.4%
Draw
31.3%
Algeria
43.3%
67
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Uganda
1-2
Algeria
Bayo (88')
Byaruhanga (44')
El Amine Amoura (42', 66')
Mandrea (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Algeria
2-0
Uganda
Mandi (28'), Belaili (80')
Bensebaini (25'), Ghezzal (31')

Aucho (23'), Mugabi (86')
> Preview
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