MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:59:47| >> :600:9497081:9497081:
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
 
Ecuador national football team

Uruguay
1 - 0
Ecuador

Pereiro (90+2')
Bentancur (66'), Nandez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillo (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.35%) and 3-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawEcuador
62.74%25.32%11.93%
Both teams to score 30.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.07%66.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.78%85.22%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.36%60.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.03%90.97%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 62.74%
    Ecuador 11.93%
    Draw 25.32%
UruguayDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 20.11%
2-0 @ 15.35%
3-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 62.74%
0-0 @ 13.17%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 2.52%
0-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 11.93%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Ecuador

Uruguay
60.8%
Draw
20.3%
Ecuador
19.0%
158
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2020 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
4-2
Uruguay
Mena (14'), Estrada (45+3', 52'), Plata (75')
Gruezo (38'), Palacios (83')
Suarez (83' pen., 90+5')
Jun 16, 2019 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
4-0
Ecuador
Lodeiro (6'), Cavani (33'), Suarez (44'), Mina (78' og.)
Lodeiro (14'), Gimenez (63')

Quinteros (24')
rhs 2.0
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