MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 23:55:48| >> :600:9442842:9442842:
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 28, 2022 at 10pm UK
 
Bolivia national football team

Venezuela
4 - 1
Bolivia

Rondon (24', 34', 67'), Machis (55')
Casseres Jr (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Miranda (38')
Sagredo (45')
Justiniano (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Venezuela 0-1 Bolivia

Bolivia - looking to put themselves in top-four contention - will be full of confidence due to their impressive run of form, and we are expecting the visitors to triumph on Friday. Venezuela are capable of making this a tight match, though, so we are only backing a 1-0 Bolivia win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawBolivia
57.15%24.3%18.55%
Both teams to score 45.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31%54.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99%76.01%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.56%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.29%43.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12%79.88%
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 57.15%
    Bolivia 18.55%
    Draw 24.29%
VenezuelaDrawBolivia
1-0 @ 13.79%
2-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 57.15%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.55%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Bolivia

Venezuela
31.2%
Draw
17.4%
Bolivia
51.4%
109
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
3-1
Venezuela
Moreno (5', 83'), Bejarano (60')
Bejarano (12'), Saavedra (45+3'), Justiniano (90+5')
Chancellor (26')
Angel (33'), Gonzalez (45+2')
Oct 10, 2019 11pm
International Friendlies
Venezuela
4-1
Bolivia
Herrera (38'), Machis (41'), Rondon (50', 87' pen.)
Alvarez (55')
Jusino (44')
Jun 22, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-3
Venezuela
Justiniano (83')
Justiniano (6'), Castro (63')
Machis (2', 55'), Martinez (87')
rhs 2.0
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