Barcelona

2 - 1

Alaves

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.