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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Atlanta

Kelsy (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Slisz (23'), Giakoumakis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Atlanta United

Cincinnati are in scintillating form at the moment and will feel it is the right time to get their first ever home win over Atlanta, who struggle on the road. We expect the home side to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
53.78% (-0.137 -0.14) 22.6% (0.252 0.25) 23.62% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.15% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (-1.299 -1.3)41.63% (1.295 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-1.324 -1.32)64.03% (1.321 1.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.50200000000001 -0.5)15.47% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.943 -0.94)44.34% (0.939 0.94)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-0.812 -0.81)31.21% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.955 -0.95)67.55% (0.95099999999999 0.95)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.78%
    Atlanta United 23.62%
    Draw 22.6%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.78%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.277 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Atlanta United
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Cincinnati
Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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