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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
St Louis City

Cincinnati
3 - 1
St Louis City

Acosta (26' pen.), Kubo (49'), Santos (80')
Murphy (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miazga (54' og.)
Kijima (35'), Adeniran (44'), Ostrak (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 St Louis City

While St Louis City do have the tools to make things tough for their hosts, FC Cincinnati find themselves in a fine run of form and will head into the weekend with plenty of confidence and momentum on their side. With home advantage and plenty of quality at both ends of the pitch, we back Pat Noonan's men to make it six wins on the bounce on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
66.89% (1.879 1.88) 19.07% (-0.212 -0.21) 14.04% (-1.667 -1.67)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-3.607 -3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-2.621 -2.62)40.85% (2.621 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2.732 -2.73)63.23% (2.732 2.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.259 -0.26)11.31% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.568 -0.57)35.95% (0.569 0.57)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-3.884 -3.88)41.2% (3.884 3.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-3.634 -3.63)77.73% (3.634 3.63)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 66.88%
    St Louis City 14.04%
    Draw 19.07%
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.06% (1.06 1.06)
1-0 @ 10.15% (1.069 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.695 0.69)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.336 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.407 -0.41)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 9% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.536 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs St Louis City

FC Cincinnati
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 3.49am
St Louis City
5-1
Cincinnati
Stroud (3'), Lowen (39'), Hiebert (45+2'), Gioacchini (53'), Celentano (57' og.)
Santos (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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