MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 09:06:00| >> :600:4112295:4112295:
Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Senegal national football team

Mozambique
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dia (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mozambique 0-2 Senegal

Senegal are one of only four teams with a 100% AFCON qualifying record so far and will back themselves to continue their fine run. While Tuesday's visitors may be unable to replicate their landslide victory from four days ago, we are backing them to get the job done once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
12.85% (0.0039999999999996 0) 23.64% (-0.135 -0.13) 63.51% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 36.22% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (0.421 0.42)60.77% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (0.316 0.32)80.82% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.68% (0.263 0.26)55.32% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.93% (0.158 0.16)88.07% (-0.155 -0.16)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (0.212 0.21)18.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55% (0.351 0.35)50.45% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 12.85%
    Senegal 63.5%
    Draw 23.63%
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 12.85%
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 17.43% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 14.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.05% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.35% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.028 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.5%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Senegal

Mozambique
11.4%
Draw
8.6%
Senegal
80.0%
35
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7pm
Senegal
5-1
Mozambique
Sabaly (9'), Mane (15'), Ndiaye (32'), Dia (39'), Diallo (88')
Sarr (31'), Mane (52')
Vilanculos (48')
Kambala (13'), Vilanculos (61'), Junior (74')
Jul 17, 2022 2.30pm
Third-Place Playoff
Mozambique
1-1
Senegal
Senegal win 4-2 on penalties
King (90+3')
Foia (36')
Diouf (78' pen.)
Faye (25'), Mane (60'), Diouf (88')
Jul 9, 2021 2pm
Senegal
1-0
Mozambique
P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!