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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Independiente

Godoy Cruz
2 - 1
Independiente

Conechny (6', 31')
Leyes (23'), Lopez (44'), Ramirez (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Costa (58')
Sarrafiore (26'), Costa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Godoy Cruz and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Godoy Cruz
Monday, May 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Lanus
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Independiente

Both sides have already drawn their fair share of games so far this season, and it would not be a surprise if they cancel each other out on Saturday. Godoy Cruz have a very good recent home record, so if either team is to emerge with the three points, it is likely to be them, but Independiente have shown real signs of improvement, and should be good enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.

Result
Godoy CruzDrawIndependiente
43.89% (-0.631 -0.63) 31.34% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 24.77% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 35.77% (0.359 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.97% (0.212 0.21)71.03% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.11% (0.133 0.13)87.88% (-0.134 -0.13)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.247 -0.25)32.73% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.276 -0.28)69.29% (0.27600000000001 0.28)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.18% (0.727 0.73)46.82% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.65% (0.546 0.55)82.35% (-0.547 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Godoy Cruz 43.88%
    Independiente 24.77%
    Draw 31.33%
Godoy CruzDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 17.11% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 9.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 43.88%
0-0 @ 15.32% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.75% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 31.33%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 24.77%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 15
Godoy Cruz
1-1
Independiente
Allende (56')
Canale (39'), Andrada (79'), Negri (88')
Canale (50')
Mar 7, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Godoy Cruz
3-3
Independiente
Bullaude (19', 64'), Ojeda (79' pen.)
Acevedo (68'), Gonzalez (79'), Pintado (82')
Benavidez (45'), Marquez (71'), Benegas (82')
Pozzo (47'), Rodriguez (73'), Bacchia (78'), Sonora (90+3')
Sep 26, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-4
Godoy Cruz
Marquez (60')
Ortega (30'), Blanco (42'), Barreto (43')
Ortega (24' og.), Badaloni (45+1'), Bullaude (50'), Ojeda (63')
Acevedo (18')
Nov 9, 2019 11pm
gameweek 13
Godoy Cruz
1-2
Independiente
Garcia (13')
Breitenbruch (7'), Varela (28'), Henriquez (83'), Aleo (85')
Cardona (62')
Cruz Bolado (60' og.), Romero (64' pen.)
Dec 9, 2018 12.30am
gameweek 15
Godoy Cruz
1-1
Independiente
Gonzalez (73')
Andrada (83'), Cardona (87')
Meza (78')
Silva (15'), Meza (87')
rhs 2.0
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