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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Sforza (69')
Gomez (18'), Sordo (43'), Aguirre (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (16'), Guidara (43')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 2-2 Newell's OB
Sunday, January 29 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-1 Gimnasia
Monday, January 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 34.94%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawVelez Sarsfield
34.94% (0.393 0.39) 31.27% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 33.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Both teams to score 38.91% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.12% (-0.165 -0.17)68.88% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.49% (-0.107 -0.11)86.51% (0.11 0.11)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (0.184 0.18)37.21% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26% (0.18 0.18)74% (-0.178 -0.18)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97% (-0.415 -0.41)38.03% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2% (-0.404 -0.4)74.8% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 34.94%
    Velez Sarsfield 33.78%
    Draw 31.27%
Newell's Old BoysDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.99% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 34.94%
0-0 @ 14.15% (0.09 0.09)
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.27%
0-1 @ 13.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 33.78%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
Oct 9, 2021 1.15am
Newell's OB
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Garro (90+1')
Sforza (1'), Maccari (33'), Scocco (66'), Canale (90+3'), Aguerre (90+5')
Martin Lucero (6'), Tarragona (82')
Guidara (24'), Poblete (65')
Feb 13, 2021 10.20pm
Jan 3, 2021 10.20pm
Zone Four
Newell's OB
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Sforza (44'), Perez (62')
Brizuela (75')
Bouzat (82')
Aug 24, 2019 7.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Newell's OB
Dominguez (30', 62'), Janson (71')
Bouzat (64'), Robertone (65'), Romero (80')
Rodriguez (38')
Rodriguez (32'), Gentiletti (76'), Formica (78'), Fernandez (87')
rhs 2.0
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