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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
23.6% ( 0.25) | 21.3% ( -0.02) | 55.1% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 62.78% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.47% ( 0.38) | 35.53% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.42% ( 0.42) | 57.58% ( -0.42) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( 0.41) | 27.87% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( 0.52) | 63.48% ( -0.52) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% ( 0.06) | 12.96% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.56% ( 0.12) | 39.44% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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