MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 06:37:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Bayern logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayern


Kubler (90+1'), Holer (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Ligt (51')
Mane (74'), Kimmich (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

Bayern will be desperate to avenge their cup defeat to Freiburg by claiming all three points at Europa-Park Stadion on Saturday, especially with Dortmund able to leapfrog them at the top of the table should Streich's side prove victorious once again. The hosts will look to hit Bayern in transition and from set-pieces once again, but we expect Bayern to stand tall this time around and claim a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
16.27% (0.0010000000000012 0) 18.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 65.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Both teams to score 61.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.92%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.71%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.27%
    Bayern Munich 65.58%
    Draw 18.14%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.47%
1-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.02%
2-0 @ 1.86%
3-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.27%
1-1 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.14%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-2 @ 8.45%
1-3 @ 7.64%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.77%
1-4 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 4.31%
0-4 @ 4.07%
2-4 @ 2.59%
1-5 @ 2.21%
0-5 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 1.25%
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 65.58%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern

Freiburg
16.7%
Draw
12.1%
Bayern Munich
71.2%
66
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Upamecano (83'), Pavard (90+3'), Musiala (90+3'), Mane (90+2')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Gregoritsch (36'), Sildillia (61')
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg33109144958-939
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!