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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.32%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
27.16% ( 0) | 21.21% ( 0) | 51.64% |
Both teams to score 67.14% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.51% ( 0) | 31.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.04% ( 0) | 52.96% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( 0) | 23.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 0) | 57.03% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.38% ( 0) | 12.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.26% ( 0) | 38.74% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 3.16% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 6.7% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 6.05% 2-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 1.35% 3-4 @ 1.17% 2-5 @ 0.99% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |