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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
52.34% ( 0.5) | 23.07% | 24.59% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( -0.48) | 42.77% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% ( -0.48) | 65.17% ( 0.48) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% ( 0) | 16.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54% ( 0.01) | 46% ( -0.01) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0.67) | 31.03% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( -0.79) | 67.34% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.34% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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