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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
47.41% ( -0.03) | 23.49% ( -0.01) | 29.1% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( 0.06) | 41.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( 0.06) | 63.55% ( -0.06) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.4% ( 0.01) | 17.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.82% ( 0.03) | 48.17% ( -0.03) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( 0.06) | 26.85% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.84% ( 0.07) | 62.15% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.41% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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