The Match
Match Report
AC Milan qualify for the knockout round of the Champions League courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Red Bull Salzburg at San Siro.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
42.52% ( -0.08) | 22.36% ( 0.02) | 35.11% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 67.43% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.02% ( -0.09) | 32.97% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.3% ( -0.1) | 54.69% ( 0.1) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.73% ( -0.07) | 16.27% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.19% ( -0.12) | 45.81% ( 0.12) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% ( -0.01) | 19.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.67% ( -0.02) | 51.32% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 42.52%
Red Bull Salzburg 35.11%
Draw 22.36%
AC Milan | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.11% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Salzburg
AC Milan
68.8%Draw
21.1%Red Bull Salzburg
10.2%413
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2022 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-12 08:58:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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