Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Groupama Aréna
Ferencvaros2 - 0Zalgiris
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
Result | ||
Ferencvaros | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
43.93% | 24.91% | 31.16% |
Both teams to score 56.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.47% | 46.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.2% | 68.8% |
Ferencvaros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.78% | 21.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.89% | 54.11% |
FK Zalgiris Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.84% | 28.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% | 63.85% |
Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros 43.93%
FK Zalgiris 31.16%
Draw 24.9%
Ferencvaros | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.57% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.16% |
How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Zalgiris
Ferencvaros
82.9%Draw
7.9%FK Zalgiris
9.2%76
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 23:52:46
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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