MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:20:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Hermoso (83')
Mandava (28'), Koke (63'), Hermoso (89')
Hermoso (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rodrygo (18'), Valverde (36')
Mendy (33'), Carvajal (88')

The Match

Team News

Antoine Griezmann is in the Atletico Madrid XI for Sunday night's Madrid derby with Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid

Atletico are set to be without some key players for this match, but the absence of Benzema is huge for Real Madrid and certainly makes them weaker. It is so difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, but Atletico must be respected at home, and we believe that a tight and nervy affair at Wanda Metropolitano will finish with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
27.75% (2.553 2.55) 25.81% (0.492 0.49) 46.45% (-3.04 -3.04)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (-0.226 -0.23)52.05% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (-0.195 -0.2)73.78% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (1.968 1.97)33.45% (-1.964 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (2.099 2.1)70.08% (-2.095 -2.1)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-1.43 -1.43)22.39% (1.433 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1% (-2.19 -2.19)55.9% (2.192 2.19)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 27.75%
    Real Madrid 46.44%
    Draw 25.81%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.473 0.47)
2-0 @ 4.49% (0.492 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.292 0.29)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.256 0.26)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.75%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-2 @ 8.39% (-0.675 -0.68)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.318 -0.32)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.537 -0.54)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.44%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
17.5%
Draw
16.7%
Real Madrid
65.9%
372
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 8pm
Atletico
1-0
Real Madrid
Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')
Benzema (88')
Varane (67')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Casemiro (15'), Oblak (63' og.)
Casemiro (36')

Lemar (46'), Correa (50'), Savic (61')
Build-up
Atletico Madrid coach Diego Simeone before the match on April 9, 2022
Diego Simeone pays tribute to "extraordinary" Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid boss Diego Simeone calls Real Madrid an "extraordinary team" ahead of Sunday's Madrid derby.
Sep 18, 10:56
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti on August 10, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti ready for "a special match" against "a strong rival"
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti expects "a very competitive duel" against Atletico Madrid in La Liga on Sunday.
Sep 17, 18:27
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema pictured on September 6, 2022
Real Madrid missing two players through injury against Atletico Madrid
Karim Benzema and Lucas Vazquez are missing from Real Madrid's squad for Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.
Sep 17, 18:09
Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti on February 6, 2022
Diego Simeone vs. Carlo Ancelotti head-to-head record
Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti and Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone ahead of the Madrid derby.
Sep 17, 17:50
Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti on August 20, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti's managerial record vs. Atletico Madrid
Sports Mole looks at Carlo Ancelotti's managerial record against Atletico Madrid ahead of Real Madrid's clash with their rivals on Sunday night.
Sep 17, 17:10
Atletico Madrid coach Diego Simeone reacts on April 5, 2022
Diego Simeone's managerial record vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole looks at Diego Simeone's managerial record against Real Madrid ahead of Atletico Madrid's clash with their rivals on Sunday night.
Sep 17, 16:49
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema pictured on September 6, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti confirms Karim Benzema will miss Madrid derby
Real Madrid striker Karim Benzema is ruled out of Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid through injury.
Sep 17, 12:40
Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring against Mallorca on September 11, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Atletico Madrid
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
Sep 16, 17:26
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema pictured on September 6, 2022
Karim Benzema 'facing uphill battle to be fit for Madrid derby'
Karim Benzema is losing his battle to be fit for Real Madrid's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid this weekend, according to a report.
Sep 15, 12:40
Karim Benzema celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on August 28, 2022
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Atletico Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.
Sep 15, 11:46
Karim Benzema celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on August 20, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti: 'Karim Benzema could be fit for Madrid derby'
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti says that Karim Benzema could be fit for next weekend's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.
Sep 10, 13:39
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
5Athletic Bilbao115331711618
6Real BetisBetis11533119218
7Mallorca11533108218
8Osasuna115331616018
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Sevilla114341215-315
11Celta Vigo114161720-313
12Real Sociedad11335810-212
13GironaGirona113351114-312
14Leganes11254912-311
15Getafe1117389-110
16AlavesAlaves113171319-610
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid11227923-148
20Valencia11146817-97


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!