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Eldense
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Athletic Bilbao logo

Eldense
1 - 6
Athletic Bilbao

Soberon (67')
Pajarero (40'), Carnicer (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (35'), Berenguer (41', 65'), Zarraga (59'), Machado (74' og.), Muniain (90')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between Eldense and Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Eldense 1-0 Burgos
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
EldenseDrawAthletic Bilbao
16.51% (-1.116 -1.12) 23.05% (-0.774 -0.77) 60.44% (1.89 1.89)
Both teams to score 45.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.09% (1.257 1.26)52.91% (-1.259 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (1.062 1.06)74.52% (-1.064 -1.06)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (-0.668 -0.67)45.19% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (-0.535 -0.54)81.08% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (1.136 1.14)17.15% (-1.138 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (1.969 1.97)47.38% (-1.97 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Eldense 16.51%
    Athletic Bilbao 60.43%
    Draw 23.05%
EldenseDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.51%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 13.66% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 12.04% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 7.08% (0.426 0.43)
1-3 @ 5.62% (0.239 0.24)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.294 0.29)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.192 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.055 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.14 0.14)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.43%

How you voted: Eldense vs Athletic Bilbao

Eldense
11.4%
Draw
5.7%
Athletic Bilbao
82.9%
35
rhs 2.0
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