EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
County Ground
Swindon0 - 1Exeter
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
44.81% ( -0.01) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 32.66% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 65.92% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.4% ( -0.08) | 34.6% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.45% ( -0.09) | 56.54% ( 0.08) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% ( -0.03) | 16.05% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% ( -0.06) | 45.4% ( 0.06) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( -0.04) | 21.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.48% ( -0.06) | 54.52% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 44.81%
Exeter City 32.66%
Draw 22.53%
Swindon Town | Draw | Exeter City |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 32.66% |
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-12 08:26:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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