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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
45.66% ( 0.94) | 22.93% ( -0.04) | 31.4% ( -0.9) |
Both teams to score 63.75% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.8% ( -0.2) | 37.19% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.6% ( -0.21) | 59.4% ( 0.21) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( 0.28) | 16.73% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.35% ( 0.5) | 46.65% ( -0.5) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( -0.61) | 23.44% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( -0.9) | 57.44% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.36% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 31.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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