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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Elche

Espanyol
2 - 2
Elche

Puado (24'), Braithwaite (67')
Souza (4'), Vidal (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milla (11'), Gonzalo (82')
Palacios (45'), Boye (49'), Mascarell (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Espanyol
Thursday, October 20 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Elche

On paper, Espanyol are the stronger side here, but the situation is becoming increasingly urgent for Elche, who need a victory, and quickly, if they are to avoid being left behind. After a promising attacking performance at Mestalla, we are backing the bottom side to grind out a result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawElche
61.36% (0.36799999999999 0.37) 22.85% (-0.123 -0.12) 15.79% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 44.52% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.072000000000003 0.07)53.3% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.061 0.06)74.85% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.155 0.16)16.96% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (0.272 0.27)47.06% (-0.269 -0.27)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61% (-0.287 -0.29)46.39% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98% (-0.222 -0.22)82.02% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 61.35%
    Elche 15.79%
    Draw 22.85%
EspanyolDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.85%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.79%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Elche

Espanyol
73.5%
Draw
17.6%
Elche
8.8%
68
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2022 8pm
Espanyol
1-2
Elche
De Tomas (45+3' pen.)
Bare (22'), Pedrosa (30'), de Tomas (88'), Merida (90+1')
Milla (6', 14')
Palacios (36'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Mojica (49'), Gumbau (77'), Milla (83'), Roco (90')
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Espanyol
Boye (23'), Benedetto (84')
Gonzalo (34'), Palacios (86'), Bigas (90+4')
Morlanes (51'), De Tomas (52')
Lopez (74')
Apr 6, 2015 7pm
Espanyol
1-1
Elche
Garcia (17')
Sevilla (26'), Moreno (46'), Fuentes (65')
Herrera (77')
Gonzalez (33'), Mosquera (73'), Angel (75')
Nov 2, 2014 8pm
Elche
2-1
Espanyol
Jonathas (19', 53')
Pasalic (15'), Rodrigues (61'), Jonathas (84')
Rodrigues (75'), Cisma (85')
Stuani (85' pen.)
Soberon Alvaro (46')
Mar 9, 2014 11am
Espanyol
3-1
Elche
Lopez (2'), Colotto (21'), Pizzi (59')
Fuentes (87')
Fuentes (89' og.)
Herrera (39'), del Moral (42'), Lomban (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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